Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. N.B. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov The pollster found. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Easy-to-digest video clips. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. Support for Welsh independence at its lowest level for three years, St Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Trump. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. 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The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg We will not share your email address with any third parties. Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. @BritainElects. An existing account was found for this email address. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. US ; About ; For business ; . Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. About; Social . The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Another. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. should not be a referendum on Scottish Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. Voting Intention: Con 28%, Lab 45% (23-25 Sep 2022) | YouGov UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest News Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. That's according to a new YouGov poll commissioned by WalesOnline to mark St David's Day 2023. . YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Which party will you vote for? Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. All Rights Reserved. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. King Charles III retains popular support in Wales, new poll shows, but Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Scottish Opinion Polls News | Latest Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest general election voting intention opinion polls - Mark Pack Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. UK general election polls 2023 | Statista Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points YouGov found . Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. UK's Labour has 33-pt lead over ruling Conservatives -YouGov poll Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? 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